Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 85.698083 95.720849 105.922162 117.051283 128.820528 140.867975 154.103894
2025-08-31 69.113979 83.498838 98.756846 116.020644 134.891972 154.785237 177.234416
2025-09-07 60.414960 77.377062 95.913910 117.420583 141.448373 167.253490 196.856115
2025-09-14 54.011258 72.898710 94.087727 119.198365 147.757880 178.888117 215.058420
2025-09-21 47.317830 67.354514 90.425610 118.328467 150.596245 186.246653 228.143931
2025-09-28 40.861064 61.489063 85.881537 115.980987 151.349990 190.925780 237.928383
2025-10-05 38.657454 60.590382 87.026343 120.107351 159.405759 203.753404 256.790357
2025-10-12 35.967422 58.827537 86.928210 122.590032 165.411512 214.135154 272.795350
2025-10-19 32.153869 55.308280 84.428026 121.974800 167.599235 219.981861 283.502724
2025-10-26 28.759224 52.075955 82.076068 121.358855 169.635847 225.533494 293.769849
2025-11-02 26.255175 49.861868 80.871573 122.034388 173.121676 232.702524 305.847304
2025-11-09 23.383643 46.904605 78.530798 121.143965 174.593170 237.408636 314.983550
2025-11-16 21.150797 44.731857 77.147309 121.429690 177.506434 243.863160 326.243066
2025-11-23 18.615861 41.899326 74.729151 120.273241 178.556228 248.037603 334.784330
2025-11-30 17.177437 40.632847 74.368084 121.719448 182.792769 256.001356 347.779993
2025-12-07 15.976537 39.642517 74.323688 123.531175 187.453138 264.456146 361.349260
2025-12-14 14.083941 37.346542 72.314626 122.643778 188.634287 268.638079 369.785118
2025-12-21 11.964041 34.439844 69.272549 120.247440 187.798355 270.284961 375.124277
2025-12-28 11.736414 34.857458 71.099813 124.459286 195.440112 282.336830 392.987968
2026-01-04 11.106267 34.484033 71.716582 126.992783 200.907178 291.710160 407.628350
2026-01-11 9.777892 32.672669 70.085458 126.365000 202.234168 295.940356 416.030858
2026-01-18 8.570414 30.951104 68.502158 125.736461 203.510263 300.071907 424.287713
2026-01-25 7.739718 29.889957 67.886876 126.425804 206.485094 306.299899 435.084167